Monthly Archives: September 2020

c’s bday

Figs with Bacon and Chile

milk washed whiskey pandan

Red Snapper and Morels in Port Reduction

Apple Pandowdy

Decoy California Cabernet Sauvignon 2018

NNT / Black Swan

Prediction, not narration, is the real test of our understanding of the world.

More info not necessarily better. Just gives us more confidence

Cumulative advantage and arbitrary contagion: journalism art and markets. Hundreds of book reviews consistently anchor. Only 1 or 2 actual reviews

Far more control defining the criterion

See “the end”; philosophers cited

A black swan may be one to the turkey but not to the butcher

Normally such people exit the gene pool, but academic tenure keeps them around for longer – nnt on sholes citing black swan, 08 vs risk taking. Highly impaired eyesite and school bus

Risk blindness